My prediction is that abortion rates will remain steady nationally (since women in red states will go to Blue ones or attempt to use abortifacients themselves). That will lead to higher maternal mortality rates in Red States. This will absolutely happen if (as seems quite possible) the GOP takes control of the Legislative branch and inflict more economic sadism on the poor or, worse still, takes the Executive in 2024 as well. Miscarrying women will, in Red States, be subjected to suspicion and investigation, on top of the grief they bear, because the cruelty is a feature, not a bug for the Cult. Compassion is an emphatically minority view for MAGA “prolife” superstars.
My other prediction is that pointing this out will go largely unnoticed by people whose monomaniac goal for 40 years has simply been OVERTURN ROE! Because the overturning of Roe has become an article of the creed and the focus of millions of MAGA “prolife” people has become performative piety, not actually pursuing policies that save lives. That’s why they are silent about and do not care that Trump raised abortion rates by 8%, reversing a 30 year downward trend that saw its greatest declines under the hated Clinton and reached its lowest point under the hated Obama/Biden.
“I am committed to overturning Roe” long ago became a shibboleth that you were supposed to say in order to pass muster as a “real” prolife person and, above all, a “real” Christian. The question, “But suppose that actually makes everything worse, including for the unborn” was not permitted among the Performatively Pious.
Now that day has come and they have what they want. The dog caught the car. And I am morally certain it will be as successful as Prohibition. Abortions will hold steady or continue to rise if the GOP claws its way back to power and maternal deaths will spike. And Consistent Life Ethic people like me, whose interest is in actually saving lives and not performative piety high-fives over empty culture war spite, will be smeared as “pro-abortion” by the Righteous, even as they drive up abortion rates and maternal mortality rates.
Way to go. You sold your souls to Trump for this.
“To get the man’s soul and give him *nothing* in return–that is what truly gladdens the heart of our Father below.” – Uncle Screwtape on the triumph of the MAGA cult of death.
More discussion of the road ahead tomorrow.