Jesus famously asked, “What shall it profit a man to gain the whole world and lose his own soul?”
Uncle Screwtape remarks, “To get the man’s soul and give him nothing in return–that is what truly delights the heart of Our Father Below.”
Ross Douthat performs the autopsy on the “pro-life” Cult of Death’s Faustian Bargain with Trump:
I believe in versions of all these explanations; the world is a complicated place. But I also think there is a reason that if you look at the trend toward pro-choice-without-exceptions sentiment, across several different polling sources, the shift seems to accelerate right around 2016.
Before 2016 Americans had already become more liberal on issues like same-sex marriage without abortion polling changing all that radically. Before that year, Americans had also already experienced a sustained challenge to Roe v. Wade, when Ronald Reagan’s Supreme Court appointees seemed poised to overturn it — and while that threat did create a spike in pro-choice sentiment in the late 1980s and early 1990s, it was smaller than the surge in the Trump era.
The trends in anxiety and alienation among young people, meanwhile, show their sharpest break earlier in the 2010s, several years before the bigger shift in abortion opinion seems to start.
So what does coincide with that bigger shift? Well, the rise of Donald Trump. And one does not need to be a monocausalist to see how the identification of the anti-abortion cause with his particular persona, his personal history and public style, might have persuaded previously wavering and ambivalent Americans to see the pro-life movement differently than they did before.
If you set out to champion the rights of the most vulnerable human beings while promising protection and support for women in their most vulnerable state, and your leader is a man famous for his playboy lifestyle who exudes brash sexism and contempt for weakness, people are going to have some legitimate questions about whether they can trust you to make good on your promises of love and care.
With that kind of standard-bearer, the accusations of your opponents — that your cause is organized more around repression than protection, more around hypocrisy than high ideals — are going to carry more weight. And some people who might have been your allies, who share your general moral worldview, are going to find reasons to disassociate themselves from your political project.
Crucially, some people might even think less of the pro-life movement in this way, or trust it less with policymaking, while still casting a vote for Trump. For instance, certain voters might like his toughness toward their enemies, his un-P.C. assault on woke and feminist politesse, without wanting that harsh style to be applied toward abortion policies that might affect them or their families. They might prefer Trump over, say, Nikki Haley on foreign policy or immigration, while also tilting more pro-choice than they would under a Haley-led G.O.P. — because you want the tough guy building the wall but not deciding on the trimester limit.
To this kind of analysis, Trump’s staunchest supporters come back with two responses: How can you say he’s been bad for the pro-life movement, when he’s the one who actually delivered the end of Roe? How can you complain about his effect on pro-life political strategy, when he’s now the one trying to find a more pragmatic and persuasive abortion stance, while activists alienate voters by championing the most absolute bans?
The answer is that many things can be true at once. Trump did deliver on his judicial promises to pro-lifers, and in his craft and cynicism he is more attuned to political reality than some anti-abortion activists and leaders. Indeed there are ways in which a pro-Trump but not pro-life conservative could reasonably complain that the pro-life movement can’t be his captive, because he’s the one who’s hostage to unpopular anti-abortion ideas.
But he is also a cause of their increased unpopularity, an instigator for the country’s pro-choice turn — because the form of conservatism that he embodies is entirely misaligned with the pro-life movement as it wants and needs to be perceived.
That’s the price of the bargain abortion opponents made. The deal worked on its own terms: Roe is gone. But now they’re trapped in a world where their image is defined more by the dealmaker’s values than by their own.
Time was when about 13% of Americans wanted abortion totally outlawed, 20% wanted abortion on demand without apology, and the remaining 60ish% both disliked abortion, did not want to think about it, but also did not want to outlaw it.
Thanks to the utter prostitution of the “pro-life” movement to a vindictive, racist, cult of nihilist power, oppression, theft, rape, misogyny, treason, racism, and violence there has been a marked move away from the “outlaw it” end of the spectrum (down to about 7% last I heard) and a marked move of many in the mushy middle toward the “legal in all cases” end of the spectrum. Now that the utter lie of the “love them both’ rhetoric of the “pro-life” movement (with the honorable exception of the Consistent Life Ethic folk) has been exposed to broad daylight, large percentages of people are realizing that most of the movement has no interest in the sanctity of human life and are all about using the unborn as human shields for a cynical crime syndicate of MAGA predators who will go to the mat in defense of a rapist when it suits their hunger for power. Meanwhile, the GOP, led by Trump, is striving to court the vote of the “pro-life” sucker while doing all in their power to get away from the issue as fast as they can.
When the backlash against Dobbs finally comes, the “pro-life” cult of death will have nobody but themselves to blame. Then, perhaps, we can start focusing on the actual (and by no coincidence) Democratic policies that reduce abortion by attacking the demand instead of vindictively assaulting the poor for doing what the “pro-life” cult pressure them into doing by cutting off financial help to poor women in crisis.
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The pro lifers made a deal with the devil. They got Roe overturned, with resultant harsh laws in red states, so severe, that women suffering miscarriages cannot get proper care. The public is disgusted with red state legislators grandstanding with women’s lives
Now, it is time to pay the piper.
‘… and a marked move of many in the mushy middle toward the “legal in all cases” end of the spectrum. ‘
One or another pro-choicer (probably Amanda Marcotte, IIRC, or someone similar) made a point to the effect that “any restrictions whatsoever on abortion mean that the ultimate decision will be made by men who remind you of the worst boys ever you knew at high school”. Ie, the ones who leered at you and groped you. I think Brett Kavanagh’s name was mentioned.
That point seemed to have a lot of cut-through.
Then someone else added that, true, European countries have enacted more restrictions than Roe would have allowed… but in Europe these are adjudicated by socialist and social-democratic officials who have a basic commitment to choice on abortion. Ie, health and clinic safety regulations will not be used as a pretext to ban all abortions.
Personnel is policy. I must say (as a Noncatholic living outside the USA) the idea of abortion restrictions were much more appealing when the case was being put decades ago by Mary Ann Glendon citing the example of West Germany. That was also back when I believed that Clarence Thomas, while he might be a tad too conservative judicially, had been unfairly slandered and was basically an honest and decent man in person.
Boy did I have a lot to learn. Trump and his gang have torn the mask off and revealed that, yeah, basically, leftists and feminists quoting Margaret Attwood were pretty much on the mark.
What threw me off track was I knew a small number of genuinely pro-life Christians personally. Eg, Catholic Workers who would be arrested for counselling outside an abortion clinic one week and then arrested for protesting nuclear warships a week late. So I knew that the left’s “they’re ALL just about controlling women and don’t care about children” was untrue. However, if you modify it to “the most powerful anti-abortion political actors are almost totally just about controlling women and don’t care about children”, then it is actually true. Sojourners etc are not the key players and won’t be making the policy when abortion does get outlawed.
My take now is that anti-abortion people go in two directions, when compared to pro-choicers (especially moral pro-choicers, those who support abortion enthusiastically because they think it’s justice, not reluctantly because they don’t want a police state that prosecutes miscarriages):
(a) 10% to 20% of pro-lifers are better human beings than pro-choicers because they care about people they haven’t met yet, not just people they have met. Interestingly, this cohort tend to care primarily about social justice and welfare support for born children. Not all oppose legal restrictions but it isn’t what they lead with. Scott Peck was in this category, like some other liberal Protestants.
(b) The other 80-90% of pro-lifers are worse human beings than pro-choicers because they don’t even care about human beings already born and standing in front of them. And this crew tend to like the idea of criminal penalties while cutting social welfare to support children already born.
Update: it was Richard Hanania https://www.richardhanania.com/p/why-women-rebel-against-pro-life citing Jessica Valenti https://jessica.substack.com/p/the-men-who-ruin-us whom I was thinking of.
Professor Glendon’s 1989 book ‘Abortion and Divorce in Western Law’ https://www.hup.harvard.edu/books/9780674001619 proposed humane, balanced solutions. She was/ is Catholic (conservative but non-trad, as far as I can tell… somewhere around Vatican 2.1 or 2.2 on the scale one uses for a branch of Christendom that doesn’t have official denominations) but was prepared to accept prudential compromises, especially those that social democrats in Europe had already enacted.
Now, if Professor Glendon were the one writing and enforcing Mississippi’s abortion laws in 2024, pro-choicers would have fewer grounds to claim martyrdom. Much as “I’m being drafted into the US army to kill civilians and inhale Agent Orange in Vietnam” is a more compelling moral claim than “I’m being drafted into the Swedish army to, uh, fix roads in Lapland for 12 months.” Conscription [*] might be tolerable if you know your government has your back, regards your life as something of value.
But looking at the actual candidates putting their hands up to adjudicate “life of the mother” etc, I understand completely why so many Wombed Persons are saying “No way.”
It’s like the idea of replacing Israel/ Gaza/ West bank with a one-state Palestine. I can appreciate, at a theoretical level, some Arab-American professor’s careful blueprint for a democratic republic that protects the civil liberties of Muslims, Jews, Christians, Druze, and everyone else living under it. But in practice, any actual Palestinian one-state that will replace Israel (nukes and all) in the foreseeable future is going to be run by corrupt Baathists at best and by ISIS fans at worst. A much less attractive outcome.
[* The conscription analogy being another reason why I didn’t take Roe-era pro-choicers all that seriously. “Governments would never demand control of men’s bodies they way they demand control of women’s!” Hello?! In 1973, Uncle Sam was compelling 18-year-old males – but NOT females – to face Viet Cong bullets. Want to insist dogmatically that pregnancy is worse or riskier? However… in the 50 years since, conscription even for males has been repealed and is now politically unthinkable, so this meme has retrospectively acquired a force it didn’t have originally].